The 2019 Food City 500 takes place on Sunday at legendary Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to win in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven pc model at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and current results into consideration.
The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the motorists at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For Sunday, we could inform you that the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.
Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among active NASCAR drivers. That includes a victory last August in the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.
The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way to the front of the package from the ninth starting position in that race also has also previously come from the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He is off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.
Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he’s commanding.
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